The “New Economy” is the trendy new term for the years ahead. We are all trying to anticipate what that means for us and how can we position our companies to adapt to whatever that “New Economy” will mean. Obviously even the best of economists cannot agree to what the future holds for us — unemployment holding or worsening, capital restricting or freeing, health care expanding or constricting, taxes growing a lot or a little and for whom, energy costs raising or lowering, the stock market up or down, the dollar strengthening or getting replaced. There is more confusion than ever. So how do we plan for a future that will more than likely challenge us as business leaders like we have never been challenged before?
There are many unknowns and uncontrollables in our current marketplace. The key to leadership is having a system that is most able to adapt. The number one criteria for success in the “New Economy” is the ability to have the most agile system. You are already seeing that play out with the recovery starting.
In the Auto Industry, “Cash for Clunkers” is an incredible temporary boom that created a shortage of vehicles and cash flow issues for the dealers. The dealers that were able to react quickly to getting more autos on their lots and had managed their cash well through the tough times were able to gain radically more sales from this boom. The ones who had low availability to inventory or poor cash positioning did not benefit.
This boom at the dealerships will now expose the auto company who is most able to react to a shortage at the dealers with the right inventory. The auto companies gearing up to a shortfall will then bleed down to the suppliers. Whichever organizations can react to the demand the fastest (and then probably quickly ratchet back down to “normal” demand levels) will be the ones that prosper.
The lessons that can be learned from this microcosm of our economy are vast.
- Response Times – Whoever can react the fastest is in a great position to get the business. We have a customer that used to take five days to get quotes to their customers. They have historically competed with China and have a great niche of filling orders that are running late. Because of improvements, they are now able to give quotes over the phone. Typically in these situations, the purchasing person wants to find the first person that can deliver to avoid a shutdown or shortage. They are often willing to pay a premium for getting product. It starts, however, with the ability to get the cost to the buyer. The first “reasonable” price gets the order.
- The “Right” Products – Meeting the customer’s ever changing needs are trickier than ever. Our R&D and new product development teams are racing to meet customer demands for new products. We still have an insatiable appetite for the latest and greatest, and companies who are able to quickly develop products, get them to market and obsolete them by introducing new products are going to thrive. That often creates some interesting dynamics in new product development. They like to use terms like “go, no-go,” decision gates, focus groups, milestone checking and the project plan. We are radically challenging the mindset of our new product development folks. The companies that innovate and the suppliers that can support them are going to be the successful companies of the next decade.
- Ramp Up/Ramp Down – The ability to staff to proper levels will probably be one of the top needs of the “new economy.” With shorter lead times and a fickle customer, we are bound to have wide swings in our business. This does not sit well with most organizations. We have not created systems that allow us to quickly shift or train labor. The most successful organizations that we work with have incredible training programs, great processes for sharing/transferring labor and a workforce that is very adaptable to the business needs. Long gone are the days of doing one job day after day in one department. Businesses need employees that are very adaptable, and they have to have systems that create the adaptable employees.
I do not know what our future monetary policies will be or what our new health care plan will look like, but I do know that it is imperative that we are setting our organization up to be more adaptable to the needs of the consumers. This includes our ability to lead an organization that can have incredibly quick response times in operations and new product development and also has the ability to react to all types of demand levels. The leaders that understand this are the ones who are going to lead the successful organizations in the 2010’s.


